The "last-mile" hurdles in AI development refer to the challenges of integrating AI systems into real-world processes and ensuring their impact on people and organizations is consequential. These hurdles include measurement of AI performance, generalization and calibration of AI models, and addressing local context issues within organizations.
Ray Kurzweil predicts the singularity, when artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence, to occur between 2029 and 2045. He believes that by 2029, AI will reach human intelligence and merge with humans by 2045, an event he calls "The Singularity5."
Rodney Brooks believes super-human intelligence is centuries away because he thinks the computational power needed to achieve it is still far beyond our current capabilities. He also highlights the challenges in developing artificial general intelligence (AGI) that can apply learning from one task to many different tasks, like humans can. Brooks argues that significant breakthroughs and advancements in technology are needed before we can realize super-human intelligence.