The current Fed benchmark rate, also known as the federal funds rate, is in the range of 5.25% to 5.5%. This rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee and serves as a reference for institutions as they borrow or lend reserves.
Ben Emons predicts that there will be "three or four rate" cuts over the next year. He believes that there is no need for the Fed to move faster, as a recession seems unlikely.
The June jobs report revealed that the US economy added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs, while the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1% from 4%. This indicates the economy is at full employment and the jobs outlook remains bright.