Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has taken several actions regarding interest rates. They have raised their key interest rate from near zero to 5.33 percent in a series of increases between March 2022 and last summer. These rates have remained unchanged since then. The goal of these increases was to tamp down inflation, which has cooled considerably but is still higher than the Fed would like. The peak rate achieved was 5.33 percent.
Home-equity lines of credit (HELOCs) and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) are affected by changes in the Federal Reserve's rates as they both carry variable interest rates2. These rates generally rise within two billing cycles after a change in the Fed's rates2.
HELOCs are directly tied to the prime rate, which is based on the Federal Reserve's fed funds rate. When the Fed raises its rate, HELOC rates go up too. The prime rate is typically equal to the fed funds rate plus three percent. So, if the current fed funds target rate is 3.75%-4%, the prime rate will be about 7%.
ARMs, on the other hand, are influenced by the Fed's rates but not as directly as HELOCs. They typically follow the yield on the five-year Treasury note, which is influenced by the Fed's key rate.
In summary, when the Federal Reserve changes its benchmark interest rate, it impacts the interest rates on both HELOCs and ARMs. When the Fed raises its rates, borrowers with these types of loans will see their interest rates increase, making their monthly payments more expensive. Conversely, when the Fed lowers its rates, borrowers can expect to see a decrease in their interest rates, leading to lower monthly payments.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate policy has a significant impact on inflation. By raising or lowering the interest rates, the Fed can influence the cost of borrowing and spending in the economy, which in turn affects the rate of inflation.
In response to the high inflation that followed the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of interest rate hikes between March 2022 and summer of 2022. The goal was to slow down the economy and tamp down inflation, which had reached levels significantly above the Fed's target of 2%.
As of the latest data, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, a key measure of inflation, was near 9% in the summer of 2022. While this represents a cooling from the peak levels, it is still higher than the Fed's target. This suggests that the interest rate hikes have had some effect, but inflation is still not within the Fed's desired range.
The Fed's policy actions, along with fiscal policy and the rollout of vaccines, contributed to a rapid economic recovery. However, the surge in inflation has been a challenge. The central bank is now faced with the task of balancing its goals of maximum employment and price stability, while also navigating the uncertainties of the post-pandemic economy.
In conclusion, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy has had a significant impact on inflation, helping to bring it down from peak levels, but it remains above the Fed's target. The challenge now is to continue to manage inflation while also supporting economic recovery and maximum employment.